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Research Document - 2000/075

The development of precautionary and biological limit reference points for the 3Ps cod stock.

By P.A. Shelton

Abstract

A number of reference points are suggested in the context of 3Ps cod. These are computed for the final SPA model accepted in the most recent assessment of this stock. Floss and spawner biomass corresponding to 50% asymptotic recruitment are suggested as initial limit reference points. At current stock size there is a low risk of falling on the wrong side of these limit reference points in both short and medium term risk analyses for a status quo TAC of 30,000 t. However, there is a high risk of remaining below Bmsy and a significant risk of exceeding Fmsy for the status quo TAC in both short and medium term risk analyses.

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