As part of the project to develop a standard methodology for the assessment of mussel stocks, this report presents the results of the work carried out during the sampling campaign that took place in September and October 2009 and presents a proposal for the project's final sampling plan.
The 2009 fall sampling campaign had two main objectives:
This report presents the various results from the statistical analyses conducted and the final methodology proposed.
In this report, specific definitions for some terms used are as follows:
Cohort: In this report, a cohort corresponds to a group of longlines that belong to the same producer, that were socked at the same time and that have the same spat size (for continuous breeding) and that are expected to be harvested in the same year.
Loop: The term "loop" is used to indicate a sock dropper loop in the case of continuous breeding and to define a collector in self-managed breeding.
Section: The term "section" is used to determine a portion of a sock dropper loop. Three sections are considered: top, middle and bottom.
The general methodology used for the 2009 fall sampling campaign differs from the methodology proposed following the spring 2009 pre-sampling campaign. Following the pre-sampling campaign, the planned methodology consisted in taking one sample of mussels in each loop sampled, but the weight of the mussels had to be high enough to enable use of declumpers. In this case, the work on the vessel was more important than taking small samples declumped manually, but the total mussel handling time was much lower. However, this methodology encountered a lot of resistance from marine farmers, mainly because:
Faced with these major concerns and issues, we developed a methodology that is much closer to that used during the pre-sampling campaign. The changes were made to enable an assessment of the methodology in order to reduce handling by marine farmers as much as possible.
The methodology used for the fall 2009 sampling campaign therefore proposes taking three one-foot samples of mussels from each loop sampled. With this methodology, marine farmers must manually declump and clean the sampled mussels. It was therefore necessary during the fall 2009 sampling campaign to complete the variability information to reduce the number of samples to be collected and mussel handling (cleaning, fall-off, weighing).
Sample taking for the sampling campaign on the Magdalen Islands was planned for September 23 to 25 with two marine farmers (one collecting offshore and one collecting in a lagoon). Given the cold temperature and the difficulties exiting offshore, only cultures in the lagoon were sampled on September 24. All weight and size measurements were taken in the MAPAQ laboratory on September 25.
A total of 36 samples (4 longlines x 3 loops x 3 sections) were planned for the collection in the lagoon. However, a mechanical problem with the vessel delayed the start and 27 samples (3 longlines x 3 loops x 3 sections) were collected in the end. All 27 samples were collected in a span of about four hours (including travel time).
Despite thevessel's mechanical problems, collecting the 27 samples allowed us to study the variabilities in this type of culture because the samples were collected in different cohorts, three loops per longline and three sections per loop in each (with the exception of a missing piece of information at the top of a collector). The smaller number of samples compared to the number expected will, however, decrease the precision of the variance estimators obtained.
The 27 samples collected each correspond to a length of one foot on the section of the loop. Sampling sites on the loops were selected randomly before the longlines were hauled.
The sampling campaign in Carleton took place from October 26 to 28 with two marine farmers with continuous cultures. At the outset, it was deemed preferable to sample a continuous and a self-regulated culture, but the closure of the self-regulated sites did not allow this type of culture to be sampled. However, note that with one of the marine farmers, measurements were taken of the collectors (data therefore comparable to a self-regulated culture). The cultures were sampled on September 27. All weight and size measurements were taken in Carleton on September 28.
A total of 24 samples (4 longlines x 2 loops x 3 sections) were planned for collection by each marine farmer. All 24 samples were collected on the first marine farmer's site, whereas 21 of the 24 samples were collected on the other marine farmer's site. One loop could not be sampled (tangled longline). All 45 samples were collected in a span of one day (with a change of vessel offshore near the harvests).
The 45 samples collected each correspond to a length of one foot on the section of the loop. Sampling sites on the loops were selected randomly before the longlines were hauled.
In addition to the data related to the cultures, information was collected about the sample collection time in order to optimize the methodology for the work required of the marine farmers.
With regard to the work done during the pre-sampling and fall sampling campaigns, it seems evident that the final sampling method must reduce the work required of the producers as much as possible. The time required for the following tasks (done in the laboratory during the pre-sampling and fall sampling campaigns) must be decreased in the final inventory method.
The methodology proposed in the pre-sampling report (using the declumper) raised many concerns from marine farmers because of the considerable loss of mussels that it entails and the difficulty using this equipment for distinct measurements on a set of samples. Faced with this choice, we therefore have to consider a manual method, but we therefore must reduce the required handling as much as possible.
The methodology discussed in this section targets the inventory on a longline. The inventory of an entire culture will be discussed in the next section.
Steps proposed for each longline selected:
The variability components study and the visual observations taken in the field show that it is important to take measurements on all sections of the loops in a longline and to take longlines in the highest possible number of cohorts in a culture. Sampling several longlines in one cohort must be considered an option that gives a plus-value regarding specification of the inventory and must be considered only when all cohorts have been sampled for at least one longline.
Although the number of cohorts differs from one culture to another, the information provided by harvesters during the 2009 sampling campaigns led us to believe that there are about 6 to 12 cohorts for one culture.
The minimum acceptable sampling to be representative of an entire culture must include samples from one longline in each cohort in a culture. Therefore, the sampling plan involves:
Improved sampling, which will provide a more accurate estimate of a culture, involves collecting samples on two longlines in each cohort in a culture. Therefore, the sampling plan involves:
The study of the precision based on the number of longlines will be provided in the final report; it will then be possible to determine whether an improved sample is required to satisfy the various stakeholders. However, it must be noted that a work day should result in an inventory of 8 to 10 longlines, which generally corresponds to minimum sampling for the entire culture. As improved sampling will require twice as much time, can marine farmers spend two full days on stock inventory?
The proposed steps for measuring samples are as follows:
Note: All calculations after information was gathered will be done in the Excel file to be provided to marine farmers. The only quantitative information to be requested from the marine farmers will be the gross weight of all samples, the gross and net weight of all sub-samples and the number of mussels in the sub-sample. The marine farmers will, of course, have to identify the longline associated with each weight measured if one estimate per longline is desired.
The methodology presented is the same as that targeted for the inventories following the project. The May 2010 sampling campaign will use improved sampling (two longlines per cohort) in at least some cohorts in order to complete the sample variability study and to provide a quantitative assessment of the advantage of using two longlines per cohort instead of one.
To reduce the inventory work required of the marine farmers as much as possible, use of minimum sampling (one loop per longline) seems the most interesting. The next sampling campaign will determine whether minimum sampling yields acceptable precision and representativity for stakeholders in the field.
The main issue with using only one loop per longline comes from the possible non-representativity, for the longline, of the sample in this loop. This issue is important if an estimate is desired for the longline, but is less important for an estimate for an entire culture because the effect of a loop underestimating the yield, density or weight of a longline can be cancelled out by the effect of a loop overestimating these same variables. In addition, the non-representativity in the loop seems much less of an issue than non-representativity on the longlines.
It may be possible to suggest an extra option to the marine farmers: the process of conducting an inventory with the help of divers. This option is only complementary and its use would be left at the full discretion of the marine farmers to improve the quality of the inventory or reduce the costs to marine farmers and divers.
Given that the methodology proposed uses a new measurement method and, for now, considers only one measurement of count per longline, it will be necessary in the May 2010 sampling campaign to consider the effect:
Also, the use of the final estimators obtained by multiplying different intermediate estimators (for example, the number of mussels in a longline will be obtained by multiplying the number of mussels per foot by the proportion of line containing mussels, all multiplied by the length of the longline), makes it difficult at this stage of the study to determine a precision for these final estimators.
Lastly, it is difficult to determine the gain in precision by using a sub-sample from five samples grouped into one vs. one measurement in one 30-cm sample.
The May 2010 sampling campaign, however, will aim to assess this precision from measurements to be taken using the new methodology. This will therefore be used to assess:
Once all of this extra information is gathered and analyzed, it will be possible to determine the best sampling strategy to optimize the precision of the inventories. However, it must be noted that the adjustments should be minor and that, as a result, the inventories to be done in May will have precisions that are close enough to the inventories that will be done thereafter using the final inventory method. Therefore, it can be assumed that the inventories to be done in May can be considered clearly equivalent in quality (representativity and precision) to the inventories produced using the final method.
Following analysis of the results from the 2009 sampling campaigns and the final inventory method proposal, the May 2010 sampling campaign should focus on conducting inventories with various marine farmers using the proposed methodology. These inventories will aim to validate the practical interest of this methodology by providing participating marine farmers with a full inventory of their cultures. While these inventories are being conducted, it will also be possible to gather the latest information required for the final minor adjustments to the inventory methodology.
Of the last adjustments to be considered, the next sampling period will target:
February and March:
May: